Unity Risk Index
54.2
ELEVATED RISK
↑ +18.6 pts since Jan
Overall Negative Sentiment
38.4%
6,771 of 17,617 mentions
↑ trend worsening Mar
Overall Positive Sentiment
36.1%
6,367 of 17,617 mentions
↓ declining since Jan
Most Volatile Topic
Religious Harmony
σ = 18.2 (neg% std dev)
↑ 79% neg in latest wk
Weekly Sentiment — All Topics
12 Weeks
Sentiment Split
Topic Sentiment Snapshot
Click any topic to view full analysis
Signal Alerts
3 HIGH
Religious Harmony · Week 9
Negative sentiment spiked to 79% in latest week — highest single-week reading across all topics
Ethnic & Racial · Persistent
Sustained negative majority (>50%) for 10 of 12 weeks. No recovery signal detected.
Overall · Week 10
Cross-topic negative sentiment crossed 50% threshold (52.1%) — regression model predicts continuation
Twitter · Platform Risk
Twitter carries 62.4% negative sentiment — highest of any channel. Disproportionate amplification risk.
Regional Unity · Positive Anchor
Only topic maintaining positive majority (60.1%). Potential counter-narrative platform.
Channel Sentiment Distribution
Topic Deep-Dive Analysis
Weekly sentiment trendlines with linear regression and 4-week forecast
Sentiment Trendline + Regression
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Regression Statistics
4-Week Forecast
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Weekly Mention Volume
Channel Breakdown
Sentiment Stack — Weekly Absolute Counts
Channel Analysis
Sentiment distribution and risk profile by media platform
Sentiment % by Channel
Channel Volume Share
Channel × Topic Negativity Heatmap
% Negative
Channel Risk Profile
Amplification Risk Score
Trend Analysis & Forecasting
Linear regression over 12 weeks with 4-week ahead prediction intervals
Overall Negative % — Trend & Forecast
Worsening
Topic Comparison — Neg % Over Time
4-Week Forecast by Topic (Negative %)
Linear Projection
Weekly Volume Trend
Sentiment Divergence Index
Neg – Pos Gap
National Unity Risk Index
Composite perception-unity score derived from topic weights, sentiment momentum, and channel amplification
Perception Unity Index
Index History
Component Breakdown
Topic Risk Scores
Index Methodology
Statistical
Base Score (40%)
Weighted average of negative sentiment percentage across all 6 topics. Topics weighted by volume and strategic importance to national unity discourse.
Momentum Factor (35%)
Linear regression slope over 12 weeks. Positive slope (increasing negativity) adds risk. Coefficient normalized and capped to prevent extremes.
Channel Amplification (25%)
Risk-weighted by platform (Twitter/Reddit/Forum carry higher weight as echo chambers). Negative reach × platform amplification factor.
Scale: 0–25 = Low Risk (Green) · 25–50 = Moderate (Amber) · 50–75 = Elevated (Orange) · 75–100 = Critical (Red).
A score above 50 indicates that public discourse is net-negative and negative momentum is outpacing corrective signals.